Insights

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What did Kevin Warsh’s confirmation hearing signal for the Federal Reserve?

24 April 2026

Kevin Warsh’s confirmation hearing to become the next chair of the US Federal Reserve was one of the most closely watched central banking events in years. Coming amid heightened political…

How has the conflict in Iran disrupted the global oil supply chain?

24 April 2026

How did the conflict in Iran turn a regional war into a global oil shock? The conflict between Iran, the United States and Israel has escalated into the most severe…

How has the bond market reacted to the conflict in Iran?

8 April 2026

The escalation of the conflict in Iran has sent a clear and forceful signal through global bond markets. Far from acting as a traditional “flight to safety,” government bonds have…

What do higher oil prices mean for the global economy?

16 March 2026

Why is the Strait of Hormuz so critical to global energy supply? The sharp rise in oil prices since the outbreak of conflict between the US, Israel and Iran reflects…

What do compressed credit spreads mean for bond markets?

20 February 2026

A surge in the corporate bond rally has driven spreads to their tightest levels in decades, sparking concerns that investors may be underestimating risk. With yields compressed and demand for…

What does Kevin Warsh’s appointment as Federal Reserve Chair mean for US monetary policy?

9 February 2026

Kevin Warsh has been nominated by US President Donald Trump to serve as the next Chair of the Federal Reserve, with his term scheduled to begin when current Chair Jerome…

What could rising Japanese bond yields and yen intervention mean for markets?

30 January 2026

What is happening in Japanese bond markets? Long‑term Japanese government bond (JGB) yields have surged to levels unseen in decades. Japan’s 40‑year yield recently crossed 4% for the first time…

How will Germany’s fiscal shift impact Europe’s economic outlook?

23 January 2026

Germany’s decision to loosen its constitutional borrowing limits marks one of the most significant fiscal shifts in Europe in recent years. Under the original debt brake, the federal government was…

What will shape financial markets in 2026?

16 January 2026

What are the three big messages for investors in 2026? As we enter 2026, markets are buoyed by optimism but shadowed by risk. AI-driven investment and fiscal stimulus continue to…

How did financial markets perform in 2025?

18 December 2025

Why did global equities rally despite tariffs and inflation? The S&P 500 surged more than 15% in 2025, marking its third consecutive year of double-digit gains. The rally was powered…

What do diverging RBA and Federal Reserve policy rates mean for markets?

15 December 2025

Why has the US Federal Reserve cut rates again? The US Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark federal funds rate by 0.25 percentage points to a range of 3.5%–3.75% at its…

What has been the economic impact of Trump’s tariffs in 2025?

5 December 2025

What are the current US tariff rates? Following US President Donald Trump’s tariff announcements throughout 2025, the effective US tariff rate has risen from roughly 2.5% at the start of…

Why are US tech giants flooding debt markets to fund AI?

28 November 2025

What’s been happening in debt markets? The artificial intelligence (AI) boom has triggered one of the largest borrowing sprees in corporate history. US tech giants, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, and…

How will banking deregulation impact the US economy?

24 October 2025

What’s changing in banking regulation under Trump and the Federal Reserve? The US Federal Reserve, with the support of the Trump administration, has proposed significant changes to post-2008 financial crisis…

Why are US mortgage rates remaining high despite Federal Reserve rate cuts?

3 October 2025

What’s keeping US mortgage rates elevated? Despite the Federal Reserve’s recent interest rate cuts, including at its September 2025 meeting, US mortgage rates remain stubbornly high. Unlike credit cards or…

How is the Federal Reserve balancing its dual mandate?

24 September 2025

What was the Federal Reserve’s latest interest rate decision? The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by 0.25% in September 2025, reducing it to a target range of 4-4.25%,…

Why have US credit spreads fallen to multi-year lows?

22 August 2025

What’s been happening with US credit spreads? US credit spreads—the gap between US companies’ borrowing costs and US Treasury yields—have tightened to their lowest levels in over a decade1. Credit…

Will Trump undermine the Federal Reserve’s independence?

18 July 2025

Why does Trump want to replace Powell? US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has kept interest rates on hold at 4.25-4.5% at every meeting this year, stating at the European…

Why have the US dollar and government bond yields broken their correlation?

6 June 2025

What has happened to the USD and bond yields?  The US dollar and US government bond yields have typically tended to exhibit a positive relationship in recent years, as higher…

Why have Japanese government bond yields hit record highs?

30 May 2025

What has been going on with Japanese bond yields? Japan’s core inflation rate climbed at its fastest rate in more than two years in April, increasing to 3.5% year-on-year, above…

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