Insights

Market intelligence and strategic insights from our strategists.

What has been the economic impact of Trump’s tariffs in 2025?

5 December 2025

What are the current US tariff rates? Following US President Donald Trump’s tariff announcements throughout 2025, the effective US tariff rate has risen from roughly 2.5% at the start of…

Why are US tech giants flooding debt markets to fund AI?

28 November 2025

What’s been happening in debt markets? The artificial intelligence (AI) boom has triggered one of the largest borrowing sprees in corporate history. US tech giants, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, and…

How will banking deregulation impact the US economy?

24 October 2025

What’s changing in banking regulation under Trump and the Federal Reserve? The US Federal Reserve, with the support of the Trump administration, has proposed significant changes to post-2008 financial crisis…

Why are US mortgage rates remaining high despite Federal Reserve rate cuts?

3 October 2025

What’s keeping US mortgage rates elevated? Despite the Federal Reserve’s recent interest rate cuts, including at its September 2025 meeting, US mortgage rates remain stubbornly high. Unlike credit cards or…

How is the Federal Reserve balancing its dual mandate?

24 September 2025

What was the Federal Reserve’s latest interest rate decision? The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by 0.25% in September 2025, reducing it to a target range of 4-4.25%,…

Why have US credit spreads fallen to multi-year lows?

22 August 2025

What’s been happening with US credit spreads? US credit spreads—the gap between US companies’ borrowing costs and US Treasury yields—have tightened to their lowest levels in over a decade1. Credit…

Will Trump undermine the Federal Reserve’s independence?

18 July 2025

Why does Trump want to replace Powell? US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has kept interest rates on hold at 4.25-4.5% at every meeting this year, stating at the European…

Why have the US dollar and government bond yields broken their correlation?

6 June 2025

What has happened to the USD and bond yields?  The US dollar and US government bond yields have typically tended to exhibit a positive relationship in recent years, as higher…

Why have Japanese government bond yields hit record highs?

30 May 2025

What has been going on with Japanese bond yields? Japan’s core inflation rate climbed at its fastest rate in more than two years in April, increasing to 3.5% year-on-year, above…

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